Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.191502 0.216219 0.242368 0.272034 0.304702 0.339517 0.379372
2025-06-29 0.156894 0.189909 0.226842 0.271029 0.322251 0.379549 0.448276
2025-07-06 0.132130 0.170052 0.214597 0.270366 0.337870 0.416463 0.514381
2025-07-13 0.114893 0.156293 0.207091 0.273284 0.356461 0.456665 0.585568
2025-07-20 0.103077 0.147440 0.204047 0.280467 0.379685 0.502785 0.665522
2025-07-27 0.091502 0.137304 0.197954 0.282582 0.395816 0.540129 0.735666
2025-08-03 0.083168 0.130432 0.195176 0.288254 0.416193 0.583163 0.814338
2025-08-10 0.076838 0.125555 0.194409 0.296128 0.439389 0.630370 0.899909
2025-08-17 0.068598 0.116918 0.187422 0.294480 0.448968 0.659297 0.961795
2025-08-24 0.061851 0.109761 0.181817 0.294099 0.459834 0.689909 1.026583
2025-08-31 0.055848 0.103095 0.176273 0.293170 0.469475 0.718763 1.089528
2025-09-07 0.052130 0.099715 0.175385 0.298955 0.488896 0.761812 1.173492
2025-09-14 0.047284 0.094103 0.170757 0.298994 0.500220 0.794414 1.244976
2025-09-21 0.042910 0.088829 0.166202 0.298738 0.510910 0.826335 1.316480
2025-09-28 0.039018 0.083980 0.161907 0.298495 0.521418 0.858174 1.388757
2025-10-05 0.036162 0.080722 0.160005 0.301943 0.537722 0.899119 1.475696
2025-10-12 0.034290 0.079132 0.160836 0.309916 0.561492 0.952116 1.582250
2025-10-19 0.031754 0.075946 0.158538 0.312309 0.576145 0.991389 1.669006
2025-10-26 0.029977 0.074098 0.158495 0.318533 0.597264 1.041310 1.773435
2025-11-02 0.028648 0.073033 0.159795 0.327129 0.622610 1.098603 1.890808
2025-11-09 0.026160 0.069197 0.155515 0.325355 0.630139 1.127521 1.964405
2025-11-16 0.024062 0.065969 0.152136 0.324951 0.639872 1.160137 2.044572
2025-11-23 0.022090 0.062792 0.148583 0.323947 0.648387 1.190872 2.122395